Given their overall record of making it to AI finals & semi finals, I suppose the smart money would be on one of Kerry, Mayo or Tyrone stopping us. But we have played them all so often now, I just can not see us being unprepared to play them, being caught napping by them, getting our tactics wrong, or the lads failing to be really, really fired up for the game.
If we are beaten, I think it’ll be because we are taken off guard by a county who have yet to break thru to the very top tier. (Like a Monaghan, or a post Messiah Donegal, or a Galway.) It won’t be about who is the better team on paper, per se. That’s too simple an analysis imo. We are the better team than Mayo on many levels, but look at how often we’ve only been able to beat them by a single point.
Even if you do go purely on that basis, Mayo’s race is run imo, Little Jimmy Horan or not. Kerry will be in transition for a while longer. They’ll come good again sooner than any other county going thru the same process will, purely because they’re Kerry. But they won’t do nuffink for a couple more years yet. Daller will be utterly insufferable, if it’s Tyrone, so screw them. So Monaghan it is, pour moi.