Have picked out some paragraphs on Northern Ireland elements as below … a sobering read unless you’re in the DUP in which case these are just marvellous figures. All these negative figures without the impact of an inevitably weaker currency and stock market either …
"The report shows the north-east would lose 16% of regional economic growth, the West Midlands 13%, and the north-west and Northern Ireland 12%. London, where 60% of the population voted to remain, will be the least affected by leaving the EU whatever deal is eventually reached, the report said.
Northern Ireland would be the third worst affected, but the studies did not model the impact of a hard border, one source who has seen the paper told the Guardian.
The question of how to avoid a hard border in the region was among the subjects of the two-hour Brexit subcommittee meeting, but senior government sources said little movement had been achieved.
Regional economic growth in Northern Ireland is projected to fall by 12% in a “no deal” scenario if the UK ends up trading on World Trade Organisation terms, the document says. A free trade agreement would see growth in Northern Ireland fall by 8% and by 2% if the UK stayed in the single market and customs union."