To clarify, I meant IF Mayo had won, they would have deserved it. This particular discussion was done to death on here, my opinion remains unchanged, they conceded two of the freakiest goals I've ever seen in major games, let alone a final. I'd put them in the top 5 unluckiest goals I've seen, and that's two goals, in the same game, and one shortly after the other. And at a perfect time for us/terrible for them.
They had started really well, were clearly on top to me. We were struggling. Some say the goal chances created showed we were getting right into the game, even on top, I feel the missed chances were indicative of how the game was going for us. If the freak goals hadn't gone in, there's every chance it would have set us back, made us more uptight, and mistake-ridden than we already were. They could have built in confidence, got a bit of a lead.
That's the context for me, it's not your standard "coulda/woulda/shouda" at all, those two goals changed the game in a massive way. Some have pointed out they came early. Well not as early as the Donegal goals early in the 2012 final, or the Kerry goals in the 2006 final, yet everyone says those were the reason Mayo lost(2012) and we're hammered(2006), so the clear conclusion to me is both that Dublin played poorly, and Mayo played very well.
And to repeat, IF they had won, they would surely have deserved it on the day. Us 'having more possession+shots' is fairly irrelevant, there wasn't much in the stats, and taking chances is a requirement of being good enough, on a given day at least.
What happened in the replay is irrelevant to this discussion in terms of my point about Mayo/Dublin on the day, in the first game. We also argued the last sideline ball/Demos decision/hypothetical outcomes to death here before, I don't see it as relevant to my point, even if Dermos decision was a bad one, as many have said, it would only support what I'm saying that Mayo played better on the day, and would have deserved to win. The main caveat is they didn't quite do enough (not surprisingly, overcoming a freak 6-point deficit in a low-scoring game in treacherous conditions), and that's the ultimate fact. Dublin's burst of scoring in the last few minutes of the 70 meant Mayo ran out of time to have any chance to win. If they had another minute, would they have won? There is alot of evidence to say they wouldn't, despite the fact they would have had the momentum very much, and should have been full of confidence+conviction after a great comeback. That's the part we will never know but it doesn't change my opinion that IF they had sneaked it, it would have certainly been deserved on the day