This should be a fascinating game and equally as tight as the two games in 2014. Mayo were hard done by then IMO with some poor refereeing and then the clash of heads didn’t help either. Arguably Kerry have improved since then while Mayo have possibly regressed.
I think both teams will set up with an extra defender so there will be a spare man in both defences with 7 v 5. I’m not sure a ‘conventional’ sweeper would be the way to go for Mayo. Often when Mayo play Vaughan between the two lines he gets bypassed and Kerry are well able to play around this kind of sweeper. Mayo seem to have long abandoned the McLoughlin sweeper project too so hard to see him there. They may seek to double team JOD and Geaney whenever possible and so may use the extra man in this role rather than zonally.
In 7 v 5 I’d imagine Kerry will have more scope with the extra man as I don’t think the Mayo 5 carry anything like the threat the Kerry forwards do but Kerry would obviously have to be very wary of Mayo’s HB line breaking into attack.
I would also think Kerry have the upper hand in midfield with Moran and whoever starts. Seamie was ok on Monday and still mobile late in the game but it was the easiest ride he’ll ever get.
The kickout strategies will be fascinating. It is amazing how key the kickouts have become in the game - completely down to Cluxton’s influence - anyone who says he hasn’t changed the game knows nowt! Will either team concede and be content to let the opposition build from the back? Will we be watching Fitzmaurice’s signals? Will they trust their midfielders to take marks? I can see Kerry mixing it up - maybe pressing in the first twenty and then varying it. Harder to predict what Mayo will do.
Am really looking forward to this game. Would actually love to go to see the tactical set up better and watch the changes as the game progresses … but not sure I’d could take being surrounded by both Kerry and Mayo fans. Maybe I could get a seat beside Mayo man!